Race 9B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cho-Cho Williams 7.6% 11.2% 14.0% 14.0% 13.2% 15.5% 12.0% 7.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 10.1% 12.7% 14.7% 15.7% 11.9% 12.5% 10.6% 7.7% 3.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Tanner Kelly 40.2% 28.9% 14.2% 9.1% 5.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonah Hatt 8.6% 11.5% 11.3% 15.0% 14.1% 14.2% 11.1% 7.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Tryg van Wyk 11.7% 12.2% 17.7% 13.1% 13.0% 11.1% 10.5% 6.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 9.6% 11.9% 12.0% 13.6% 15.2% 12.4% 10.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Kieran Elliott 5.1% 4.1% 5.7% 7.1% 9.4% 10.4% 13.4% 16.6% 16.6% 8.9% 2.7%
David Berson 2.8% 1.8% 3.9% 5.7% 6.8% 8.6% 11.2% 14.8% 19.3% 18.7% 6.4%
Hartley Meyer 2.4% 4.0% 4.2% 3.6% 6.1% 7.2% 10.8% 17.7% 20.6% 16.0% 7.4%
Robert Rubin 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 3.5% 3.9% 6.6% 8.5% 14.5% 30.4% 26.6%
Daniel Dickson 0.8% 0.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 5.0% 9.1% 19.6% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.