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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.64+7.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+6.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.14vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+2.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+3.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-0.52vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75-0.38vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30+0.79vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-2.19vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-5.92vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.69-5.01vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.06-3.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.98-3.94vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.04-5.40vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-6.28vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.042.640.1%1st Place
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8.52Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.79Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.81Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.99Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.6College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.72Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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13.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Green | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.