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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+7.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+7.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+4.75vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+4.02vs Predicted
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52.64+3.01vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30+2.65vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-0.13vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-2.31vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98+0.79vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-0.24vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-2.87vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.91vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.52vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-9.16vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.04-6.27vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.75Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.02Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.012.640.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.65Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.87Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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13.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.73College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Dana Haig | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 35.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.