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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+4.80vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+5.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+4.74vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+4.08vs Predicted
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52.64+3.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.01vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04+1.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98+0.74vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-2.22vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-2.85vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.99-6.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.89vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-4.31vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.30-6.38vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.92Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.08Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.022.640.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.87College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.78Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.87Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.62Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Dana Haig | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.