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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+7.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+7.14vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+6.59vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.84vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.76vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.10vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-0.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.81vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.41+0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.41vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.99-3.98vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-1.20vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-2.17vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.52vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.55-7.47vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.04-6.30vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.70-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.84Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.76Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.83Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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13.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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8.53Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.7College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.08Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Green | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 36.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.