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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+9.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+3.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+7.38vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+6.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+2.82vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.41+0.75vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.71+1.85vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.02+3.13vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.35-3.85vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-2.07vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.98-3.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-4.18vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.42-8.40vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.73-7.85vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.16-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.8%1st Place
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5.12Stanford University3.3014.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Naval Academy2.577.8%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.672.6%1st Place
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11.29University of Miami1.933.0%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.565.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Hawaii2.417.4%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University3.1813.4%1st Place
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10.85University of Southern California1.713.5%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.759.4%1st Place
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14.13University of South Florida1.021.5%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.355.3%1st Place
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10.93Jacksonville University1.553.1%1st Place
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10.08Fordham University1.983.9%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island1.423.3%1st Place
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7.6Georgetown University2.427.5%1st Place
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9.15Webb Institute1.735.6%1st Place
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15.18Northwestern University0.160.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Erik Anderson | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 19.8% | 24.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew King | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Grace Bray | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.