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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.56vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+7.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+3.48vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+5.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.71vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.36vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55+1.59vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-1.27vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-0.84vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-4.13vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-2.90vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.48vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.64vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-3.20vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.98-4.13vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.56vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.04-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.26Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.73Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.16Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.1Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.8Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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13.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.7College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 33.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.