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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+5.69vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+7.59vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+2.61vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+0.85vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70+2.13vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.15vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-2.26vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.55-4.44vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.04-3.22vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.55vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-5.14vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.41-7.75vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.69Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.13Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.02Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.78College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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13.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.25Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Green | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 35.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.