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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+7.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+5.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+5.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+2.00vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.00vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+7.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.19vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-0.16vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.70-0.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.41-1.04vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-4.27vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.51vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.99-7.09vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.98-3.93vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.30-6.40vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-6.21vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.04-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.72Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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13.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.84Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.96Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.79Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.66College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 35.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.