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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+6.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+4.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+5.63vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+6.72vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+2.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.16vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.24vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-1.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.63vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-5.06vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.36vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-2.40vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.46-4.91vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.70-6.89vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-5.15vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.30-7.35vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.72Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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7.6Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.6College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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9.09Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.11Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.65Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 35.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.