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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+5.74vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+6.59vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+6.71vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70+1.73vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-0.87vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-1.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.03vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-1.19vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.16vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-2.67vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-2.36vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.69-5.89vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.28vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-5.15vs Predicted
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172.64-8.74vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.71College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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7.73Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.81Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.33Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.11Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.262.640.1%1st Place
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13.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% |
| Dana Haig | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.