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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+7.98vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+5.20vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+2.66vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75+6.80vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+2.98vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.19vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+3.54vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84+1.54vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-1.21vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02+2.75vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.18-2.49vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.11-7.46vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.52vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-6.88vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.77vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.32vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.75-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.66Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.8College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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10.54Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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13.75Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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5.54Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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12.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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8.12Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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14.23U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.76Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 24.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 29.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.