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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+7.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+6.80vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.75+8.22vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+3.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+0.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.48vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+3.51vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-1.79vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.43-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84+0.87vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.11-5.35vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-4.63vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.18-3.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.07vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.75-4.12vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-5.81vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.02-3.20vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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11.22College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.51Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.21Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.07Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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5.65Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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13.93U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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10.88Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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13.8Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Grace Squires | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 28.3% |
| Mia Hanes | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 24.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.