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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.86+13.31vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+5.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.33+5.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+9.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.28+3.87vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-0.31vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.91-0.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47+0.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.64vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.75+1.29vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-2.50vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.16-2.14vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-2.42vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.71vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.39-11.09vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.18-7.42vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.86-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.31U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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13.59Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.69Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.29College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.5Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.86Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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4.91Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.58University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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10.47Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 31.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 25.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.