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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.86vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+5.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+6.14vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+0.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+1.38vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+4.63vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.33-0.35vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.02+3.98vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-2.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.86+2.52vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.16-3.69vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.75-3.30vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.68vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.43-7.62vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.84-6.15vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University2.280.0%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.38Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.63Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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13.98Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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14.52U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.31Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.7College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.38Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 24.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 33.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Grace Squires | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.1% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.