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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+7.92vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+5.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+4.76vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39-0.21vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.29+2.86vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33+1.72vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-0.85vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-2.69vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.75+1.36vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-0.17vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.16-2.22vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-2.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.02-1.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.18-7.48vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.54Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.76Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.79Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.36College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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9.78Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.48Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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13.74Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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14.36U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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12.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 18.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 23.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 31.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.