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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+7.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+3.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+6.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+4.74vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+3.20vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39-1.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.53vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-1.73vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-1.91vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.16-0.34vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-0.30vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.75-0.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02+0.53vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-3.65vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.60vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.04vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.88-6.38vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.8Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.03Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.82Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.09Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.66Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.7Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.36College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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13.53Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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12.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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14.07U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Grace Squires | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 22.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.