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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+5.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+6.80vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75+6.85vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+3.61vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91+0.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28+1.84vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16+1.27vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.39-4.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84+0.94vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.29-2.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.86+2.46vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-4.82vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.51vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.86-4.45vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.88-5.47vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.02-3.18vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.85College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.84Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.27Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.69Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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14.46U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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8.18Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.55Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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13.82Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Grace Squires | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 32.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 22.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.