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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+6.77vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+5.31vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+5.88vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.89+2.57vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.54vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.55+4.65vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.49+3.12vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.91-4.38vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-4.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-5.79vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.11-4.28vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-3.83vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.31Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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5.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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10.79Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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6.62University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.5North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.78Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.96SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Grace Gear | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 15.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.