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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+6.52vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.89+4.41vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+5.85vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.56vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+0.66vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+4.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-0.87vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79+0.71vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65-3.39vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-4.52vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.11-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.55-2.16vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.19-2.13vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.49-3.97vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.85Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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5.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.66University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.05Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.13Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.71Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.61Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.48North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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12.87SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Emily Allen | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 13.9% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 26.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.