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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.89+5.42vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+5.27vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+5.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.91+1.34vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.69vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79+3.86vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11+1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.43+3.28vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-2.13vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-3.37vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.49-0.15vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-5.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.72-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.55-3.35vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.06vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-11.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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7.27Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.34University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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10.86Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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12.28University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.87Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.63North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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7.86Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.23Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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12.94SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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5.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Gear | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 25.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 10.6% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.