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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.89+5.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.99vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65+4.43vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.55+7.65vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.19+7.76vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.49+6.08vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.91-0.51vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.65-0.66vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.22vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-2.18vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.31vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.79-1.19vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-1.79vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-4.93vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-7.25vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-3.85vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.11-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.43North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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12.76SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.34Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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10.81Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.21Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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9.6Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Gear | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 23.7% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 16.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 16.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.