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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.11+8.33vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.28+6.82vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+4.40vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.55+7.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.90vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.23vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.91-1.57vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.19+4.14vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.49+1.85vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-2.90vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.43+0.11vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.65-5.48vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-6.09vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-4.04vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.79-5.17vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.89-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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8.82Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.4Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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13.14SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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8.1Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.52North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.91Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.96Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.83Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aili Moffet | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Emily Allen | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 28.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
| Grace Gear | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.