← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.78+4.59vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University4.08+6.09vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.89+2.36vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.62+5.97vs Predicted
-
5Brown University4.49+1.56vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University4.52+0.72vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.62+2.90vs Predicted
-
8Yale University4.19-0.33vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.50+4.72vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College4.06-1.83vs Predicted
-
11Boston University4.07-2.63vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.81vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.68-3.14vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.93vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University3.92-6.19vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut2.51-3.34vs Predicted
-
18Bates College2.26-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.59Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
8.09Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
5.36Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
9.97University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
-
6.56Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
6.72Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
9.9University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
-
7.67Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
13.72Bowdoin College2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.17Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
-
8.37Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
-
6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
-
9.86Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
-
10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
8.81Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
13.66University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
-
14.29Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 21.5% | 24.6% |
| Sam Williams | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 23.9% |
| David Pierce | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.