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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.35+7.08vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+5.54vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.39+4.78vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30+0.72vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.73+3.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.09vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.97+2.72vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.78vs Predicted
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101.42+1.66vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.00vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93-1.04vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.98-3.28vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.68vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.02-1.15vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.71-5.24vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.55-6.47vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.68-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Tulane University2.356.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Hawaii2.417.7%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College2.397.7%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University3.3016.7%1st Place
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8.77Webb Institute1.735.3%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University3.1815.0%1st Place
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9.72Boston College1.973.3%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.205.7%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Naval Academy2.286.2%1st Place
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11.661.422.9%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.8%1st Place
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10.96University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
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9.72Fordham University1.984.7%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.4%1st Place
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13.85University of South Florida1.021.9%1st Place
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10.76University of Southern California1.712.9%1st Place
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10.53Jacksonville University1.553.1%1st Place
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14.2Northwestern University0.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 27.3% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.