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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+6.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+5.36vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.89+3.55vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.11+5.56vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.49+6.71vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79+5.01vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65+0.44vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.91-2.36vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.28-1.22vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-3.04vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.55-1.15vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-8.28vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-7.05vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-3.81vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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11.01Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.44North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.64University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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8.78Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.04Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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5.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.95SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Gear | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 17.1% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.