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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+6.25vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.11+7.52vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.23vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89-0.42vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.55+2.85vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.28-1.24vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.49+0.94vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-4.55vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.43-0.86vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.72-2.84vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-4.23vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.52-8.00vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.68University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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5.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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8.76Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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7.45North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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11.16Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.77Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.