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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.26+5.89vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+3.63vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.79+5.78vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.00+4.01vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.24+1.92vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03-1.31vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46-0.63vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.01-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.20+5.74vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.86-1.61vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95-2.65vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-3.13vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-2.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.39-3.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.77-6.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.02-4.36vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-2.38-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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8.78Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.92University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.69Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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6.37North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.8Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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14.74University of Michigan-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.47Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.39Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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11.64SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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16.3University of Miami-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 15.5% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Brieden | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 12.7% | 43.6% | 20.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Laura Smith | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 15.0% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.