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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+3.48vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.76+6.83vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.95+5.18vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.00+4.05vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.86+3.31vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26+1.18vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.24+0.12vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.46-1.71vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.39+1.37vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-4.37vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.77-2.02vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.79-3.28vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.33vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.01-5.92vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.20-0.47vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-2.38+0.27vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.37-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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8.83University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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8.05Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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7.12University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.29North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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10.37Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College0.770.1%1st Place
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8.72Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.67SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Michigan-1.200.0%1st Place
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16.27University of Miami-2.380.0%1st Place
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10.33Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 19.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 0.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 2.3% |
| Megan Geith | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anna Brieden | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 40.4% | 20.8% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 15.1% | 73.8% |
| Laura Smith | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.