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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+5.92vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86+5.48vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+2.43vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03-0.56vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.01+2.12vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.79+1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+0.67vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-3.18vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.00-2.12vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.77-1.99vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.95-3.84vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-2.56vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.39-3.63vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-3.44vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.20-1.30vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-2.38-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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6.43North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.44Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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8.8Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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7.88Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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10.44Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.37Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.56SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Michigan-1.200.0%1st Place
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16.3University of Miami-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 18.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 12.5% | 2.7% |
| Anna Brieden | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 43.1% | 20.3% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 15.1% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.