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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+5.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+2.72vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.08+3.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.95+3.09vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.86+2.77vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03-2.44vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.77+0.74vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.01-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76-1.21vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.26-3.70vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.20+2.62vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.00-4.79vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-3.46vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-3.34vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.39-5.62vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-2.38-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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7.83Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College0.770.1%1st Place
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8.19Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.3George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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14.62University of Michigan-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.21Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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10.54Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.66SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.38Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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16.31University of Miami-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Megan Geith | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anna Brieden | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 41.1% | 21.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 2.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 15.5% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.