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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+7.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+3.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+3.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+2.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+3.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+1.99vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.68+2.71vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.50+5.39vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.62+1.13vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.06-1.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.99vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.52-5.41vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.92-4.01vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-3.96vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.89-9.63vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-2.70vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.51-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.99Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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13.39Bowdoin College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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6.59Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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5.37Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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14.3Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 25.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Sam Williams | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Pierce | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 34.9% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.