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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.95+6.69vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+4.72vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+4.33vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+2.88vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03-0.60vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-0.42vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46-0.78vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.00-0.49vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.77-0.60vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.01-2.33vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.39-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.86-3.90vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-3.29vs Predicted
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14University of Miami-2.38+1.25vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.20-1.15vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.02-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.72University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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7.33Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.88George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.4Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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5.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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6.22North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.51Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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7.67Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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9.63Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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9.71Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Miami-2.380.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Michigan-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.06SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 17.5% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Megan Geith | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 16.7% | 71.4% |
| Anna Brieden | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 44.6% | 22.4% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.