← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University0.95+6.59vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.46+3.96vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.24+3.72vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.08+3.52vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.86+3.02vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.26+0.80vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.89vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.03-3.77vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-3.60vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.00-2.40vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.92-3.18vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.39-2.42vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University0.49-3.77vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University0.37-4.45vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan-1.20-1.25vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami-2.38-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.59Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
-
5.96North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
-
6.72University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
-
7.52Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
-
8.02University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
-
6.8George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
10.89SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
-
4.23Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
-
5.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
-
7.6Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
-
7.82Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
-
9.58Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
-
9.23Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
-
9.55Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.75University of Michigan-1.200.0%1st Place
-
15.32University of Miami-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 2.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 19.0% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Emma Friedauer | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Laura Smith | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 43.2% | 20.8% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 14.7% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.