Race 11B

women-atlantic-coast-dinghy-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Isabella du Plessis 9.3% 12.0% 9.3% 9.6% 10.3% 8.7% 7.8% 6.8% 7.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Leah Rickard 12.3% 12.0% 11.5% 11.8% 8.0% 9.0% 8.0% 6.4% 6.2% 5.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 7.8% 7.4% 8.2% 9.1% 7.6% 8.3% 9.3% 7.7% 7.8% 8.8% 6.2% 4.8% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 5.2% 6.4% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.2% 6.6% 10.7% 6.1% 8.6% 4.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Hailey Pemberton 4.9% 4.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.4% 6.0% 6.8% 9.3% 7.2% 6.7% 9.0% 8.8% 8.4% 6.6% 3.1% 0.1%
Megan Geith 5.5% 5.3% 8.0% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 8.0% 7.6% 8.3% 7.3% 7.2% 6.8% 6.9% 5.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Isabelle Gautier 2.7% 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.4% 4.8% 5.0% 7.4% 9.1% 9.8% 22.1% 14.5% 2.1%
Eva Ermlich 19.1% 15.6% 13.9% 11.1% 10.1% 9.7% 6.2% 4.5% 3.9% 2.7% 1.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Liebel 5.0% 6.1% 5.6% 5.7% 5.5% 6.3% 7.0% 9.0% 7.1% 8.9% 7.6% 9.9% 7.3% 5.0% 3.4% 0.6%
Madeline Stull 3.7% 3.5% 3.9% 3.3% 4.2% 3.9% 5.8% 5.0% 7.3% 7.3% 10.0% 11.1% 13.1% 11.2% 5.9% 0.8%
Avery Canavan 9.1% 7.7% 8.6% 8.0% 6.8% 8.1% 8.4% 7.8% 8.9% 7.7% 6.7% 5.0% 3.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Mary Castellini 5.8% 5.5% 5.1% 6.8% 7.4% 7.8% 6.4% 6.6% 7.1% 8.4% 7.4% 8.1% 8.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 5.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 8.8% 6.8% 7.6% 9.3% 8.1% 8.1% 6.2% 6.8% 5.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Laura Smith 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3% 5.7% 6.0% 6.8% 5.2% 6.0% 7.4% 7.5% 10.5% 11.9% 12.3% 6.1% 0.8%
Olivia Campmany 0.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 3.1% 14.3% 75.0%
Anna Brieden 0.3% 1.1% 0.4% 1.1% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 4.1% 5.7% 12.3% 43.2% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.