Race 1A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grant Adam 17.1% 16.2% 14.6% 12.7% 12.5% 10.3% 6.4% 4.5% 4.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Blake Vogel 8.2% 9.6% 10.0% 9.6% 11.1% 10.2% 11.4% 9.6% 8.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Andy Leshaw 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 7.2% 7.1% 7.9% 10.1% 9.1% 11.7% 12.9% 11.8% 6.9% 2.8%
Andrew White 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 3.8% 5.2% 5.6% 6.1% 9.7% 10.4% 11.9% 15.7% 15.0% 8.9%
Peter Schnell 8.3% 9.1% 10.1% 9.0% 11.7% 9.5% 9.3% 11.8% 9.2% 5.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
John Polek 13.9% 14.8% 13.5% 12.9% 11.8% 10.5% 7.5% 5.6% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 7.4% 7.1% 7.5% 9.3% 7.9% 9.5% 11.6% 9.4% 10.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.6% 0.7%
Mikhail Lavrenov 3.2% 4.4% 4.2% 4.7% 4.9% 6.5% 9.2% 9.2% 10.7% 12.9% 14.1% 12.0% 4.0%
Kolby Seibert 0.8% 0.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 4.3% 5.0% 7.5% 16.6% 53.0%
Zachary Klusky 8.1% 5.8% 9.4% 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 9.1% 10.2% 9.2% 8.1% 4.8% 3.5% 1.2%
Clark Morris 24.3% 21.4% 15.2% 13.7% 9.2% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Myler 1.8% 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% 4.5% 5.6% 5.8% 9.8% 7.8% 12.5% 15.0% 16.5% 11.3%
Felix Nusbaum 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 6.1% 6.8% 7.7% 11.2% 14.6% 22.1% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.