Race 2A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Clark Morris 23.5% 20.6% 15.1% 13.6% 9.6% 7.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andy Leshaw 4.6% 3.7% 5.4% 6.3% 7.8% 7.6% 9.4% 10.0% 12.5% 11.9% 10.1% 7.4% 3.3%
Kolby Seibert 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 4.5% 6.2% 8.2% 16.6% 53.9%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.5% 3.6% 3.5% 6.6% 6.1% 7.0% 7.0% 9.6% 9.6% 13.5% 13.7% 11.7% 5.6%
Emil Tullberg 7.5% 6.0% 10.2% 7.1% 9.0% 10.1% 9.8% 11.4% 9.4% 8.9% 6.6% 3.5% 0.5%
Blake Vogel 9.0% 9.5% 9.9% 10.4% 10.9% 11.1% 10.8% 7.1% 9.2% 6.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.5%
John Polek 14.5% 14.2% 13.9% 11.8% 12.9% 9.4% 8.2% 6.3% 5.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Schnell 7.5% 10.4% 9.2% 9.6% 9.9% 10.3% 11.1% 11.5% 8.5% 5.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Grant Adam 17.1% 16.5% 14.8% 14.0% 11.3% 9.5% 7.0% 4.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Klusky 7.5% 8.1% 8.7% 9.2% 9.7% 10.1% 10.0% 10.8% 8.9% 8.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3%
Felix Nusbaum 1.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% 5.4% 7.3% 9.0% 11.6% 17.2% 18.0% 14.5%
Andrew White 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 3.9% 3.4% 5.8% 7.5% 8.3% 9.3% 11.3% 16.4% 17.8% 8.2%
Kate Myler 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 4.3% 5.7% 7.3% 7.5% 9.4% 12.2% 12.9% 18.8% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.