Race 3A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Schnell 7.8% 7.6% 9.2% 11.7% 11.0% 8.7% 11.5% 11.0% 7.5% 6.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6%
Andy Leshaw 4.2% 4.3% 6.6% 5.9% 7.4% 6.8% 9.4% 12.5% 11.3% 10.9% 9.5% 8.0% 3.2%
Grant Adam 17.4% 16.4% 16.3% 12.6% 11.3% 9.2% 7.4% 4.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Clark Morris 23.9% 20.9% 16.4% 11.4% 9.9% 7.5% 5.3% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
John Polek 14.6% 15.0% 12.1% 12.6% 11.2% 12.4% 8.0% 5.9% 4.0% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 1.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 3.9% 5.5% 6.8% 8.6% 9.2% 14.3% 21.8% 16.7%
Emil Tullberg 7.4% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 9.0% 9.3% 11.8% 10.0% 10.2% 9.2% 6.1% 3.7% 1.0%
Andrew White 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 5.1% 3.1% 6.1% 6.4% 8.2% 10.6% 12.1% 15.8% 15.5% 7.9%
Zachary Klusky 7.2% 6.9% 8.1% 9.5% 9.8% 10.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.2% 8.4% 5.4% 2.8% 0.8%
Blake Vogel 9.1% 8.3% 9.6% 13.6% 9.6% 10.5% 8.9% 9.2% 7.7% 6.7% 3.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Kolby Seibert 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 7.1% 8.4% 16.6% 51.0%
Kate Myler 1.7% 3.0% 3.3% 2.7% 5.4% 5.8% 6.0% 5.7% 11.4% 12.3% 15.1% 15.1% 12.5%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.4% 3.4% 4.2% 3.9% 6.6% 7.4% 7.1% 8.8% 11.3% 13.9% 14.1% 11.2% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.