Race 4A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Clark Morris 22.8% 18.7% 16.1% 13.8% 9.9% 7.3% 5.0% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Mikhail Lavrenov 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 5.0% 5.7% 6.2% 7.5% 8.2% 12.3% 13.3% 14.0% 11.0% 6.2%
Blake Vogel 6.9% 10.0% 9.7% 8.9% 9.0% 11.2% 13.1% 9.5% 9.3% 6.4% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Andy Leshaw 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 5.5% 5.8% 9.5% 8.1% 10.8% 12.2% 11.4% 11.0% 8.7% 3.3%
Grant Adam 18.3% 16.2% 14.0% 14.2% 10.8% 9.5% 6.4% 4.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew White 1.9% 3.3% 3.1% 4.4% 2.9% 5.7% 6.5% 10.0% 10.2% 12.1% 15.8% 15.7% 8.4%
Pearl Lattanzi 11.4% 9.5% 12.7% 11.3% 12.1% 10.8% 8.4% 9.5% 6.3% 4.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2%
John Polek 13.4% 14.4% 13.1% 11.4% 13.1% 10.0% 10.2% 6.5% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Peter Schnell 7.3% 8.6% 8.3% 9.9% 8.9% 10.5% 11.7% 11.1% 8.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Zachary Klusky 7.5% 6.9% 7.7% 8.4% 11.6% 9.2% 10.2% 9.9% 8.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Kolby Seibert 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 4.9% 6.9% 9.2% 17.0% 50.4%
Felix Nusbaum 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 3.6% 3.1% 3.3% 4.9% 6.4% 7.7% 10.6% 15.3% 21.2% 18.9%
Kate Myler 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 5.8% 4.8% 5.6% 7.6% 10.5% 12.2% 14.9% 18.3% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.