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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+7.24vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.97+5.57vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+6.19vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73+2.74vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.39+0.78vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98+1.99vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.35-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.02+3.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.00vs Predicted
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121.42-0.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.28-4.86vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-5.77vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.55-4.30vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.71-5.38vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.41-9.69vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.68-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Harvard University3.1816.6%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University3.3017.2%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.5%1st Place
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9.57Boston College1.974.3%1st Place
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11.19University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
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8.74Webb Institute1.735.7%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College2.396.7%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University1.984.0%1st Place
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7.92Tulane University2.356.5%1st Place
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13.81University of South Florida1.021.4%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.672.6%1st Place
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11.861.422.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Naval Academy2.285.9%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University2.205.9%1st Place
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10.7Jacksonville University1.553.4%1st Place
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10.62University of Southern California1.713.4%1st Place
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7.31University of Hawaii2.417.0%1st Place
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14.28Northwestern University0.681.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.2% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 25.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Henry Lee | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Matthew King | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.