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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.78+4.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+3.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.49+3.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.62+5.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.52+0.36vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92+1.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+0.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.98vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-0.30vs Predicted
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11Boston University4.07-3.07vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.19-4.20vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.50+0.23vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-4.17vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.06-6.68vs Predicted
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16Bates College2.26-2.25vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.25vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut0.66-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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5.18Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.86Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.23Bowdoin College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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13.75Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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16.38University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 28.5% | 7.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Sam Williams | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| David Pierce | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 34.6% | 11.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| James Fales | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 11.1% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.