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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+4.80vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+1.52vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.62+4.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-0.40vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.83-0.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.08-3.07vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12-1.95vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-0.58-1.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24+0.78vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.47-1.62vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-2.53-0.70vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.83-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.52Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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7.9Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.46McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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4.89Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Rhode Island1.080.2%1st Place
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6.05Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University-0.580.0%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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9.38Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.3Olin College of Engineering-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.4% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Marina Garrido | 19.5% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 13.9% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Brown | 17.7% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Chiampo | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Robert Houde | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 12.2% | 23.0% | 28.2% | 18.5% |
| Nick Harrington | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Owen Himsworth | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 27.8% | 31.8% |
| Inbar Artzi | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 24.8% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.