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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.08+2.99vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.62+5.74vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+2.81vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31-0.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27-1.43vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+0.05vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.83-2.52vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.64-3.14vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-0.58-1.30vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.47-0.55vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.83+0.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-1.11vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-2.53-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Rhode Island1.080.2%1st Place
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7.74Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.52Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.57Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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6.05Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.48McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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4.86Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University-0.580.0%1st Place
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9.45Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.830.0%1st Place
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10.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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11.33Olin College of Engineering-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Brown | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| John Van Zanten | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 20.6% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 20.1% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Chiampo | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Nick Harrington | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 21.9% | 13.0% | 5.6% |
| Inbar Artzi | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 16.5% | 26.3% | 39.2% |
| Robert Houde | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 28.3% | 20.5% |
| Owen Himsworth | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.