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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.64vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.08+1.01vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.83+0.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64-0.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-0.58+1.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.29vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.47+1.40vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.62-1.20vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.12-3.93vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-0.25vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-2.53-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.83-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.54Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Rhode Island1.080.1%1st Place
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4.53McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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4.88Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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9.4Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.8Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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11.32Olin College of Engineering-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.3% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Brown | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 11.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Chiampo | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Harrington | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 13.6% | 3.8% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Sylvia Burns | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Houde | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 23.7% | 26.8% | 17.0% |
| Owen Himsworth | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 26.7% | 33.4% |
| Inbar Artzi | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 24.8% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.