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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.52vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.12+4.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.08-1.05vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-0.58+1.64vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64-2.19vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.83-3.56vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.62-1.21vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.47-0.58vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-2.53+0.18vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.83-0.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.27-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.14Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Rhode Island1.080.2%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.81Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.44McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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7.79Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.42Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.18Olin College of Engineering-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.830.0%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 20.5% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 18.7% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Parker Brown | 17.9% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Chiampo | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Keller Morrison | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Nick Harrington | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Owen Himsworth | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 29.8% | 24.9% |
| Inbar Artzi | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 23.5% | 46.2% |
| Olyn Jacobson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 13.4% | 21.0% | 27.0% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.