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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.08+0.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+1.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64+0.02vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.83-1.41vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.47+2.38vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12-1.92vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.62-1.07vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-2.53+1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.83+1.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University-0.58-4.22vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.27-2.02vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-3.48-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.51Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Rhode Island1.080.2%1st Place
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5.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.02Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.59McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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9.38Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.08Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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7.93Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.6Olin College of Engineering-2.530.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.830.0%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University-0.580.0%1st Place
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10.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.270.0%1st Place
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12.8Wesleyan University-3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 20.1% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 20.1% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Brown | 17.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 12.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Harrington | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 21.3% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Himsworth | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 25.8% | 15.7% |
| Inbar Artzi | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 27.5% | 24.6% |
| Stefano Chiampo | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Olyn Jacobson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 24.3% | 18.0% | 8.2% |
| David Koestler | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.