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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.61vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+5.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+3.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73+1.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+0.10vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.12vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38-0.82vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.71-0.59vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.44+0.05vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.57-0.48vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.96-4.02vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.63vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.20-4.01vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.09-4.44vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.07-3.51vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Roger Williams University2.6810.5%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.7%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.386.9%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University2.227.9%1st Place
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6.03Brown University2.7311.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University2.9212.8%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.054.9%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston2.387.4%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.7%1st Place
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9.41University of Pennsylvania1.714.8%1st Place
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11.05George Washington University1.442.9%1st Place
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11.52Old Dominion University1.572.5%1st Place
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8.98Cornell University1.965.5%1st Place
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14.63SUNY Maritime College0.411.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Wisconsin1.203.3%1st Place
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11.56North Carolina State University1.093.1%1st Place
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13.49Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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12.25Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 34.9% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 21.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.