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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.12vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.30+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.18-0.63vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.79+1.41vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.44-1.56vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.27-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.32-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-2.43-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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3.67Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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2.37University of Wisconsin1.180.4%1st Place
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5.41Marquette University-0.790.0%1st Place
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3.44Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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4.54Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Saint Thomas-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 19.8% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 35.3% | 25.9% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 24.9% | 24.1% | 8.9% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 14.9% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| George Warfel | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 11.5% | 3.2% |
| Isaac Sparber | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 17.9% | 35.3% | 20.8% |
| Phillip Thoma | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 18.4% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.