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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.30+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.60+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.18-0.64vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.44-0.54vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.79+0.40vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.27-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.32-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-2.43-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Michigan Technological University0.300.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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2.36University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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3.46Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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5.4Marquette University-0.790.0%1st Place
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4.52Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Saint Thomas-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Myneni | 15.3% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 18.1% | 22.0% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 34.3% | 27.1% | 18.8% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 16.0% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Eli Erling | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 24.5% | 7.4% |
| George Warfel | 8.5% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 10.9% | 3.3% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 34.6% | 21.7% |
| Phillip Thoma | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 18.6% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.