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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.38vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44+0.47vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.30-0.34vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.27-0.40vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.79-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-2.43+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.32-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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2.38University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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3.66Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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4.6Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.37Marquette University-0.790.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Saint Thomas-2.430.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 19.4% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 34.3% | 26.1% | 19.1% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 16.2% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Nick Myneni | 14.3% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| George Warfel | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 12.6% | 3.0% |
| Eli Erling | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 24.7% | 8.5% |
| Phillip Thoma | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 16.0% | 68.8% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 21.9% | 33.9% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.