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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+4.14vs Predicted
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2Boston University4.07+6.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+5.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+2.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.63vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.62+3.74vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.06+1.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.62+0.67vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.78-4.33vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-1.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.52-5.47vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-5.37vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.50-0.93vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.92-7.27vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.63Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.07Bowdoin College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.73Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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13.79Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 12.8% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Ingham | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.7% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 21.1% | 31.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| David Pierce | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 19.8% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.