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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+4.18vs Predicted
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21.42+9.50vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+4.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.97+5.65vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70+6.03vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.35+1.80vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-2.18vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.14vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93+1.99vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.39-2.43vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.87vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.02+1.67vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.18vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.57-6.55vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.73-6.46vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.90-3.53vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.98-7.40vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.68-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Stanford University3.1514.8%1st Place
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11.51.422.8%1st Place
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7.5University of Hawaii2.416.9%1st Place
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9.65Boston College1.974.7%1st Place
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11.03Jacksonville University1.702.5%1st Place
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7.8Tulane University2.356.5%1st Place
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4.82Harvard University3.1816.7%1st Place
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8.14Georgetown University2.205.3%1st Place
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10.99University of Miami1.933.7%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College2.397.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.2%1st Place
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13.67University of South Florida1.021.8%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.6%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Naval Academy2.577.0%1st Place
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8.54Webb Institute1.735.5%1st Place
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12.47University of Southern California0.901.8%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.985.2%1st Place
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14.14Northwestern University0.681.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Erik Anderson | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Maks Groom | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 24.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.