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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.18+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.60+1.21vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.30+0.64vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.44-0.53vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.79+0.40vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.27-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.32-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-2.43-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Wisconsin1.180.4%1st Place
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3.21University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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3.64Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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5.4Marquette University-0.790.0%1st Place
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4.51Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Saint Thomas-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Dempsey | 36.9% | 26.1% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 17.8% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Myneni | 14.3% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 15.3% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Eli Erling | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 25.7% | 24.3% | 7.4% |
| George Warfel | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 10.5% | 3.4% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 34.9% | 21.8% |
| Phillip Thoma | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 18.5% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.